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DeSart model in Wyoming: Trump is in the lead

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The DeSart model released an updated forecast of the election result. The model currently predicts a two-party vote share of 25.5% for Clinton, and 74.5% for Trump in Wyoming.

Putting the results in context

Individual models can incorporate substantial errors, which is why they should be treated with caution. Instead of trusting the results from single models, forecasting research recommends to consult combined models or, even better, a combined forecast that includes forecasts from different methods, each of which draws upon different data.

The DeSart model in comparison with PollyVote's prediction

The most recent PollyVote anticipates Trump to gain 69.0% of the two-party vote in Wyoming. The results of the DeSart model for Trump are thus 5.5 percentage points above the combined PollyVote in Wyoming.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

Please let us know if you find any typos, missing words, or grammatical errors. Your feedback helps us to further improve the quality of the texts.

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