538 (polls-plus) model shows Clinton in the lead
The 538 (polls-plus) model provided an updated prediction of the election result. The model currently predicts a two-party vote share of 52.2% for Clinton, and 47.8% for Trump. In comparison, on October 6, Clinton was predicted to gain only 52.1% of the vote.
Putting the results in context
Individual models should be treated with caution, as they may include large errors. At the very least, one should check how a model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.
Results vs. other econometric models
If we look at an average of econometric models, Clinton's current two-party vote share is at 49.9%. This value is 2.3 percentage points lower than respective numbers in the 538 (polls-plus) model.
The 538 (polls-plus) model in comparison with PollyVote's prediction
The latest PollyVote forecasts Clinton to gain 52.7% of the two-party vote. PollyVote currently predicts Clinton to gain 0.5 percentage points more compared to the results of the 538 (polls-plus) model.