Wyoming: DeSart model shows Trump in the lead
The DeSart model enters the econometric models component of the combined PollyVote. The model currently forecasts a two-party vote share of 25.5% for Clinton, and 74.5% for Trump in Wyoming.
Putting the results in context
As any other method, models are subject to bias. As a result, a good strategy is to not put too much trust in the results of a single econometric model. At the very least, one should check how a model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.
Results compared to the combined PollyVote forecast
The latest PollyVote forecasts Trump to gain 69.0% of the two-party vote in Wyoming. PollyVote currently predicts Trump to gain 5.5 percentage points less compared to the results of the DeSart model.