Washington, D.C.: Jerome model shows Clinton in the lead

The Jerome model enters the econometric models component of the PollyVote. According to the model, Clinton will achieve 86.4% of the two-party vote share in Washington, D.C., whereas Trump will end up with 13.6%.

Putting the results in context

Individual models may include large errors, which is why they should be treated with caution. Rather than relying on results from single models, you should look at combined models or, even better, a combined forecast that incorporates forecasts from different methods, each of which draws upon different data.

Results compared to the combined PollyVote prediction

The current PollyVote forecasts Clinton to gain 90.7% of the two-party vote in Washington, D.C.. The results of the Jerome model for Clinton are thus 4.3 percentage points below the combined PollyVote in Washington, D.C..

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

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