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Kentucky: DeSart model shows Trump in the lead

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The DeSart model published an updated prediction of the election result. The model currently predicts a major vote share of 35.5% for Clinton, and 64.5% for Trump in Kentucky.

Putting the results in context

Individual models often include substantial biases, which is why they should be interpreted with caution. Rather, one should examine how a model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.

The DeSart model compared with PollyVote's forecast

The most recent PollyVote expects Trump to gain 61.5% of the two-party vote in Kentucky. The results of the DeSart model for Trump are thus 3.0 percentage points above the combined PollyVote in Kentucky.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

Please let us know if you find any typos, missing words, or grammatical errors. Your feedback helps us to further improve the quality of the texts.

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