Hawaii: DeSart model shows Clinton in the lead

The DeSart model provided an updated forecast of the election outcome. The model currently forecasts a two-party vote share of 70.1% for Clinton, and 29.9% for Trump in Hawaii.

Putting the results in context

As any other method, models are subject to bias. Thus, as a general rule, don't rely too much on the results of a single econometric model. Rather than trusting the results from single models, the best practice is to look at combined models or, even better, a combined forecast that draws upon different methods and data.

Results compared to the combined PollyVote forecast

The most recent PollyVote predicts Clinton to gain 69.1% of the two-party vote in Hawaii. The results of the DeSart model for Clinton are thus 1.0 percentage points above the combined PollyVote in Hawaii.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

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