DeSart model in West Virginia: Trump is in the lead

The DeSart model released an updated prediction of the election outcome. According to the model, Clinton will receive 33.3% of the two-party vote share in West Virginia, whereas Trump will end up with 66.7%.

Putting the results in context

As a general rule, however, you should not have too much faith in the results of single models, because they may contain large errors. Instead of relying on results from single models, research in forecasting recommends to consult combined models or, even better, the combined PollyVote forecast that uses forecasts from different methods, each of which uses different data.

The DeSart model compared with PollyVote's prediction

The latest PollyVote predicts Trump to gain 62.3% of the two-party vote in West Virginia. PollyVote currently predicts Trump to gain 4.4 percentage points less compared to the results of the DeSart model.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

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