DeSart model in Vermont: Clinton is in the lead

The DeSart model published an updated prediction of the election outcome. According to the model, Clinton will garner 66.5% of the two-party vote share in Vermont, whereas Trump will win 33.5%.

Putting the results in context

As any other method, models are subject to bias. As a result, one should not have too much confidence in the results of a single econometric model. At the very least, one should examine how a model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.

The DeSart model compared with PollyVote's prediction

The most recent PollyVote forecasts Clinton to gain 63.8% of the two-party vote in Vermont. PollyVote currently predicts Clinton to gain 2.7 percentage points less compared to the results of the DeSart model.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

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