Connecticut: Clinton with big advantage in new Emerson poll

Emerson published the results of a new poll. In this poll, participants from Connecticut were asked for whom they will vote: Democrat candidate Hillary Clinton or Republican candidate Donald Trump.

According to the results, 50.0% of respondents plan to give their vote to former Secretary of State Hillary Clinton, while 35.0% would vote for real estate developer Donald Trump.

The poll was conducted from September 2 to September 5 with 1000 likely voters. The margin of error is +/-3.0 points. This means that the levels of voter support for the candidates of both parties differ significantly.

Putting the results in context

Single polls should be regarded with caution, as they often incorporate large errors. Rather than trusting the results from single polls, the best practice scientific advice is to look at combined polls or, even better, a combined forecast that draws upon different methods and data.

For the following analysis, we convert the candidates' raw poll numbers into shares of the two-party vote. This yields figures of 58.8% for Clinton and 41.2% for Trump. On April 11 Clinton received only 54.6% in the Emerson poll and Trump received 45.5%.

Comparison to the combined PollyVote

The latest PollyVote foresees Clinton to gain 57.9% of the two-party vote in Connecticut. Hence, Polly's forecast is 0.9 points below her polling numbers. The PollyVote forecast is therefore within the poll's margin of error.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

Please let us know if you find any typos, missing words, or grammatical errors. Your feedback helps us to further improve the quality of the texts.