Results of a new poll carried out by PPP (D) were spread. The poll asked interviewees from West Virginia for whom they will vote: Republican nominee Donald Trump or Democrat nominee Hillary Clinton.
PPP (D) poll results
Of those who responded, 30.0% said that they are going to vote for former Secretary of State Hillary Clinton, while 57.0% indicated that they would give their vote to businessman Donald Trump.
The poll was conducted from April 29 to May 1 with 1201 likely voters. The sampling error is +/-2.8 points, which means that the poll results for the two candidates differ significantly.
Putting the results in context
Single polls often contain substantial biases, which is why they should be interpreted with caution. At the very least, one should check how a poll's results compare to benchmark forecasts.
For the following comparison, we convert Clinton's and Trump's raw poll numbers into two-party vote shares. The corresponding figures are 34.5% for Clinton and 65.5% for Trump.
Comparison to the combined PollyVote
The latest PollyVote forecasts Trump to gain 61.7% of the two-party vote in West Virginia. This means that Polly's combined forecast is 3.8 points below his polling numbers. The PollyVote forecast is thus outside the poll's margin of error.