Hawaii: DeSart model shows Clinton in the lead
The DeSart model released an updated forecast of the election outcome. According to the model, Clinton will garner 70.1% of the two-party vote share in Hawaii, while Trump will end up with 29.9%.
Putting the results in context
Single models should be interpreted with caution, because they can incorporate large biases. Rather than trusting the results from single models, you should look at combined models or, even better, a combined forecast that incorporates different methods and data.
Comparison to the combined PollyVote
The latest PollyVote expects Clinton to gain 68.4% of the two-party vote in Hawaii. PollyVote currently predicts Clinton to gain 1.7 percentage points less compared to the results of the DeSart model.