DeSart model in West Virginia: Trump is in the lead

The DeSart model released an updated forecast of the election result. It currently predicts a two-party vote share of 33.3% for Clinton, and 66.7% for Trump in West Virginia.

Putting the results in context

As any other method, models are subject to bias. Hence, one should not rely too much on the results of a single econometric model. Instead of relying on results from single models, the evidence-based approach is to look at combined models or, even better, a combined forecast that relies on different methods and data.

Results compared to the combined PollyVote prediction

The current PollyVote forecasts Trump to gain 61.7% of the two-party vote in West Virginia. The results of the DeSart model for Trump are thus 5.0 percentage points above the combined PollyVote in West Virginia.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

Please let us know if you find any typos, missing words, or grammatical errors. Your feedback helps us to further improve the quality of the texts.