DeSart model in Washington, D.C.: Clinton is in the lead
The DeSart model published an updated forecast of the election outcome. It currently predicts a two-party vote share of 91.9% for Clinton, and 8.1% for Trump in Washington, D.C..
Putting the results in context
Individual models often incorporate substantial biases, which is why they should be interpreted with caution. Rather, one should check how a model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.
The DeSart model compared with PollyVote's forecast
The current PollyVote foresees Clinton to gain 90.4% of the two-party vote in Washington, D.C.. The results of the DeSart model for Clinton are thus 1.5 percentage points above the combined PollyVote in Washington, D.C..