The DeSart model is included in the econometric models component of the combined PollyVote forecast. According to the model, Clinton will collect 66.5% of the two-party vote share in Vermont, while Trump will end up with 33.5%.
Putting the results in context
Single models often contain substantial biases, which is why they should be interpreted with caution. Rather than relying on results from single models, the best practice is to look at combined models or, even better, the combined PollyVote forecast that uses different methods and data.
Comparison to the combined PollyVote
The current PollyVote forecasts Clinton to gain 63.1% of the two-party vote in Vermont. PollyVote currently predicts Clinton to gain 3.4 percentage points less compared to the results of the DeSart model.