DeSart model in Kansas: Trump is in the lead
The DeSart model is captured in the econometric models component of the PollyVote. It currently forecasts a major vote share of 36.0% for Clinton, and 64.0% for Trump in Kansas.
Putting the results in context
As any other method, models are subject to bias. Thus, as a general rule, don't have too much confidence in the results of an individual econometric model. At the very least, one should check how a model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.
Results compared to the combined PollyVote prediction
The latest PollyVote foresees Trump to gain 57.6% of the two-party vote in Kansas. PollyVote currently predicts Trump to gain 6.4 percentage points less compared to the results of the DeSart model.