DeSart model in Kansas: Trump is in the lead

The DeSart model is captured in the econometric models component of the PollyVote. It currently forecasts a major vote share of 36.0% for Clinton, and 64.0% for Trump in Kansas.

Putting the results in context

As any other method, models are subject to bias. Thus, as a general rule, don't have too much confidence in the results of an individual econometric model. At the very least, one should check how a model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.

Results compared to the combined PollyVote prediction

The latest PollyVote foresees Trump to gain 57.6% of the two-party vote in Kansas. PollyVote currently predicts Trump to gain 6.4 percentage points less compared to the results of the DeSart model.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

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