PPP (D) published the results of a new poll. In this poll, interviewees from West Virginia were asked for whom they will vote: Republican nominee Donald Trump or Democrat nominee Hillary Clinton.
PPP (D) poll results
The results show that 30.0% of interviewees would give their vote to former First Lady Hillary Clinton, whereas 57.0% would vote for businessman Donald Trump.
The poll was conducted between April 29 and May 1. The sample size was 1201 likely voters. The margin of error is +/-2.8 points. This means that the levels of voter support for both candidates differ significantly.
Putting the results in context
As a general rule, however, you should not have too much faith in the results of single polls, since they can contain large errors. Rather, one should check how a poll's results compare to benchmark forecasts.
To make the results comparable to forecasts from benchmark methods, you can translate them into shares of the two-party vote. The respective figures are 34.5% for Clinton and 65.5% for Trump.
Comparison to the combined PollyVote
The latest PollyVote forecasts Trump to gain 61.6% of the two-party vote in West Virginia. Hence, Polly's combined forecast is 3.9 points below his polling numbers. Again, a look at the poll's margin of error indicates that this deviation is significant.