West Virginia: New PPP (D) poll shows Clinton behind by 27 points

PPP (D) published the results of a new poll. In this poll, interviewees from West Virginia were asked for whom they will vote: Republican nominee Donald Trump or Democrat nominee Hillary Clinton.

The results show that 30.0% of interviewees would give their vote to former First Lady Hillary Clinton, whereas 57.0% would vote for businessman Donald Trump.

The poll was conducted between April 29 and May 1. The sample size was 1201 likely voters. The margin of error is +/-2.8 points. This means that the levels of voter support for both candidates differ significantly.

Putting the results in context

As a general rule, however, you should not have too much faith in the results of single polls, since they can contain large errors. Rather, one should check how a poll's results compare to benchmark forecasts.

To make the results comparable to forecasts from benchmark methods, you can translate them into shares of the two-party vote. The respective figures are 34.5% for Clinton and 65.5% for Trump.

Comparison to the combined PollyVote

The latest PollyVote forecasts Trump to gain 61.6% of the two-party vote in West Virginia. Hence, Polly's combined forecast is 3.9 points below his polling numbers. Again, a look at the poll's margin of error indicates that this deviation is significant.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

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