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West Virginia: DeSart model shows Trump in the lead

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The DeSart model enters the econometric models component of the combined PollyVote. According to the model, Clinton will garner 33.3% of the two-party vote share in West Virginia, while Trump will end up with 66.7%.

Putting the results in context

As any other method, models are subject to bias. As a result, a good strategy is to not focus too much on the results of a single econometric model. At least, one should check how a model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.

Comparison to the combined PollyVote

The most recent PollyVote forecasts Trump to gain 61.6% of the two-party vote in West Virginia. The results of the DeSart model for Trump are thus 5.1 percentage points above the combined PollyVote in West Virginia.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

Please let us know if you find any typos, missing words, or grammatical errors. Your feedback helps us to further improve the quality of the texts.

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