PPP (D) published the results of a new poll. In this poll, respondents from New Mexico were asked for whom they will vote: Republican nominee Donald Trump or Democrat nominee Hillary Clinton.
PPP (D) poll results
The results show that 41.0% of respondents are going to cast a ballot for former New York Senator Hillary Clinton, while 33.0% are going to cast a ballot for businessman Donald Trump.
The poll was in the field between May 13 and May 15. The sample size was 802 likely voters.
Putting the results in context
Single polls can contain large biases, which is why they should be interpreted with caution. Instead of relying on results from single polls, forecasting research recommends to rely on combined polls or, even better, the combined PollyVote forecast that incorporates different methods and data.
For the following analysis, we translate Trump's and Clinton's raw poll numbers into shares of the two-party vote. The resulting figures are 55.4% for Clinton and 44.6% for Trump.
Comparison to other polls
An average of recent polls in New Mexico sees Clinton at 0.0% of the two-party vote. Relative to her numbers in the PPP (D) poll Clinton's poll average is 55.4 percentage points lower.
Comparison to the combined PollyVote
The latest PollyVote foresees Clinton to gain 54.6% of the two-party vote in New Mexico. This means that the PollyVote forecast is 0.8 points below her polling numbers.