Jerome model in Washington, D.C.: Clinton is in the lead

The Jerome model released an updated forecast of the election outcome. According to the model, Clinton will garner 86.4% of the two-party vote share in Washington, D.C., while Trump will win 13.6%.

Putting the results in context

As a general rule, however, don't have too much faith in the results of single models, as they often incorporate large errors. Rather than relying on results from single models, we recommend to use combined models or, even better, the combined PollyVote forecast that relies on forecasts from different methods, each of which relies on different data.

Comparison to the combined PollyVote

The latest PollyVote foresees Clinton to gain 90.4% of the two-party vote in Washington, D.C.. The results of the Jerome model for Clinton are thus 4.0 percentage points below the combined PollyVote in Washington, D.C..

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

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