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DeSart model in Vermont: Clinton is in the lead

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The DeSart model enters the econometric models component of the PollyVote forecast. According to the model, Clinton will achieve 66.5% of the two-party vote share in Vermont, while Trump will end up with 33.5%.

Putting the results in context

As a general rule, however, you should not have too much faith in the results of single models, because they often incorporate large errors. Rather than relying on results from single models, the best practice scientific advice is to rely on combined models or, even better, the combined PollyVote forecast that includes forecasts from different methods, each of which includes different data.

Comparison to the combined PollyVote

The most recent PollyVote expects Clinton to gain 62.8% of the two-party vote in Vermont. PollyVote currently predicts Clinton to gain 3.7 percentage points less compared to the results of the DeSart model.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

Please let us know if you find any typos, missing words, or grammatical errors. Your feedback helps us to further improve the quality of the texts.

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