PPP (D) poll in West Virginia: Clinton trails by 27 points

PPP (D) released the results of a new poll, in which respondents from West Virginia were asked for whom they will vote: Democrat Hillary Clinton or Republican Donald Trump.

The results show that 30.0% of interviewees would cast a ballot for former Secretary of State Hillary Clinton, whereas 57.0% would vote for real estate developer Donald Trump.

The poll was conducted from April 29 to May 1 with 1201 likely voters. Given the poll's error margin of +/-2.8 percentage points, the gap in voter support is statistically significant.

Putting the results in context

As any other method, polls are subject to bias. As a result, a good strategy is to not be too confident the results of an individual poll. Rather, one should check how a poll's results compare to benchmark forecasts.

To make the results comparable to forecasts from other methods, you can translate them into two-party vote shares. This procedure results in figures of 34.5% for Clinton and 65.5% for Trump.

Comparison to the combined PollyVote

The current PollyVote foresees Trump to gain 61.6% of the two-party vote in West Virginia. This means that Polly's combined forecast is 3.9 points below his polling numbers. Again, a look at the poll's margin of error shows that this difference is significant.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

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