Albuquerque JournalAlbuquerque Journal published the results of a new poll. In this poll, respondents from New Mexico were asked for whom they will vote: Donald Trump or Hillary Clinton.
Albuquerque JournalAlbuquerque Journal poll results
The results show that 44.0% of interviewees would vote for former First Lady Hillary Clinton, while 34.0% are going to vote for real estate developer Donald Trump.
The poll was conducted from September 27 to September 29. A total of 501 likely voters responded.
Putting the results in context
Single polls should be regarded with caution, as they may include substantial biases. At the very least, one should examine how a poll's results compare to benchmark forecasts.
In order to make the results comparable to forecasts from other methods, one can convert them into shares of the two-party vote. The respective figures are 56.4% for Clinton and 43.6% for Trump.
Results compared to other polls
Clinton is currently at 56.4% of the major two-party vote in an average of recent polls in New Mexico. This value is 0 percentage points lower than her corresponding numbers in the Albuquerque JournalAlbuquerque Journal poll.
The poll compared with PollyVote's forecast
The latest PollyVote foresees Clinton to gain 54.6% of the two-party vote in New Mexico. This means that Polly's combined forecast is 1.8 points below her polling numbers.