Jerome model in Washington, D.C.: Clinton is in the lead

The Jerome model enters the econometric models component of the PollyVote forecast. According to the model, Clinton will garner 86.4% of the two-party vote share in Washington, D.C., whereas Trump will end up with 13.6%.

Putting the results in context

Single models may contain substantial biases, and should be treated with caution. Rather, one should examine how a model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.

Comparison to the combined PollyVote

The most recent PollyVote forecasts Clinton to gain 90.4% of the two-party vote in Washington, D.C.. PollyVote currently predicts Clinton to gain 4.0 percentage points more compared to the results of the Jerome model.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

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