The Jerome model enters the econometric models component of the PollyVote forecast. According to the model, Clinton will garner 86.4% of the two-party vote share in Washington, D.C., whereas Trump will end up with 13.6%.
Putting the results in context
Single models may contain substantial biases, and should be treated with caution. Rather, one should examine how a model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.
Comparison to the combined PollyVote
The most recent PollyVote forecasts Clinton to gain 90.4% of the two-party vote in Washington, D.C.. PollyVote currently predicts Clinton to gain 4.0 percentage points more compared to the results of the Jerome model.