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Goucher College*Goucher College* poll in Maryland: Clinton with 33 points lead


Goucher CollegeGoucher College released the results of a new poll, in which respondents from Maryland were asked for whom they will vote: Democrat candidate Hillary Clinton or Republican candidate Donald Trump.

Goucher CollegeGoucher College poll results




Of those who answered the question, 58.0% said that they plan to vote for former Secretary of State Hillary Clinton, while 25.0% said that they would give their vote to real estate developer Donald Trump.

The poll was carried out between September 17 and September 20. The sample size was 514 likely voters. The margin of error is +/-4.3 percentage points, which means that the poll results for Trump and Clinton differ significantly.

Putting the results in context

Single polls should be interpreted with caution, because they often incorporate large biases. Rather, one should check how a poll's results compare to benchmark forecasts.

In order to make the results comparable to benchmark forecasts, one can convert them into two-party vote shares. This yields figures of 69.9% for Clinton and 30.1% for Trump.

Results vs. other polls

An average of recent polls in Maryland sees Clinton at 69.2% of the two-party vote. This value is 0.7 percentage points lower than her corresponding numbers in the Goucher CollegeGoucher College poll. This difference is within the poll's margin of error, which means that the poll is not an outlier.

Results compared to the combined PollyVote forecast

The most recent PollyVote forecasts Clinton to gain 63.9% of the two-party vote in Maryland. This means that Polly's forecast is 6.0 points below her polling numbers. The PollyVote forecast is therefore outside the poll's error margin.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

Please let us know if you find any typos, missing words, or grammatical errors. Your feedback helps us to further improve the quality of the texts.

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