The DeSart model released an updated prediction of the election result. It currently forecasts a major vote share of 66.5% for Clinton, and 33.5% for Trump in Vermont.
Putting the results in context
As any other method, models are subject to bias. Therefore, as a general rule, a good strategy is to not be overly confident the results of a single econometric model. Instead of trusting the results from single models, research in forecasting recommends to rely on combined models or, even better, the combined PollyVote forecast that incorporates forecasts from different methods, each of which draws upon different data.
Comparison to the combined PollyVote
The current PollyVote anticipates Clinton to gain 62.8% of the two-party vote in Vermont. The results of the DeSart model for Clinton are thus 3.7 percentage points above the combined PollyVote in Vermont.