DeSart model in Kansas: Trump is in the lead

The DeSart model released an updated prediction of the election outcome. According to the model, Clinton will achieve 36.0% of the two-party vote share in Kansas, whereas Trump will win 64.0%.

Putting the results in context

Single models should be regarded with caution, since they may include substantial biases. At least, one should examine how a model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.

The DeSart model compared with PollyVote's forecast

The latest PollyVote foresees Trump to gain 57.5% of the two-party vote in Kansas. PollyVote currently predicts Trump to gain 6.5 percentage points less compared to the results of the DeSart model.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

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