The 538 (polls-plus) model provided an updated forecast of the election result. The model currently predicts a two-party vote share of 51.4% for Clinton, and 48.6% for Trump. In comparison, on October 1 Trump was still predicted to win 48.6% of the vote.
Putting the results in context
As a general rule, however, one should not have too much faith in the results of single models, as they sometimes contain large errors. Rather, one should examine how a model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.
Comparison to other econometric models
Clinton currently runs at 49.7% of the two-party vote in an average of recent econometric models. Compared to numbers in the 538 (polls-plus) model Clinton's econometric model average is 1.7 percentage points lower.
Results compared to the combined PollyVote forecast
The latest PollyVote foresees Clinton to gain 52.3% of the two-party vote. The results of the 538 (polls-plus) model for Clinton are thus 0.9 percentage points below the combined PollyVote.