Wyoming: DeSart model shows Trump in the lead
The DeSart model provided an updated forecast of the election result. According to the model, Clinton will obtain 25.5% of the two-party vote share in Wyoming, whereas Trump will win 74.5%.
Putting the results in context
As any other method, models are subject to bias. In general, a good strategy is to not focus too much on the results of an individual econometric model. At least, one should check how a model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.
Comparison to the combined PollyVote
The latest PollyVote anticipates Trump to gain 68.6% of the two-party vote in Wyoming. PollyVote currently predicts Trump to gain 5.9 percentage points less compared to the results of the DeSart model.