Results of a new poll administered by WTHR/Howey Politics were announced. The poll asked participants from Indiana for whom they will vote: Hillary Clinton or Donald Trump.
WTHR/Howey Politics poll results
According to the results, 36.0% of participants are going to vote for former New York Senator Hillary Clinton, whereas 43.0% would vote for businessman Donald Trump.
The poll was conducted from September 6 to September 8. A total of 600 likely voters responded. If one takes into account the poll's sampling error of +/-4.0 percentage points, the gap between both candidates is statistically significant.
Putting the results in context
Individual polls should be treated with caution, because they may incorporate large errors. Rather than relying on results from single polls, the best practice scientific advice is to use combined polls or, even better, a combined forecast that incorporates different methods and data.
To make the results comparable to forecasts from benchmark methods, we translate them into shares of the two-party vote. This yields figures of 45.6% for Clinton and 54.4% for Trump.
Comparison to the combined PollyVote
The current PollyVote foresees Trump to gain 57.1% of the two-party vote in Indiana. Hence, the PollyVote is 2.7 points above his polling numbers. Again, a look at the poll's sampling error suggests that this difference is insignificant.