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Rutgers-EagletonRutgers-Eagleton poll in New Jersey: Trump trails by a overwhelming margin

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Results of a new poll administered by Rutgers-EagletonRutgers-Eagleton were published. The poll asked participants from New Jersey for whom they will vote: Democrat Hillary Clinton or Republican Donald Trump.

Rutgers-EagletonRutgers-Eagleton poll results
59

Clinton

35

Trump

According to the results, 59.0% of participants plan to cast a ballot for former Secretary of State Hillary Clinton, whereas 35.0% plan to cast a ballot for real estate developer Donald Trump.

The poll was carried out from September 6 to September 10 among 735 registered voters. There is a sampling error of +/-3.5 percentage points. Considering this error margin, the gap between both candidates is statistically significant.

Putting the results in context

As any other method, polls are subject to bias. As a result, one should not rely too much on the results of a single poll. Rather, one should check how a poll's results compare to benchmark forecasts.

To make the results comparable to forecasts from benchmark methods, we convert them into shares of the two-party vote. This yields figures of 62.8% for Clinton and 37.2% for Trump.

Comparison to the combined PollyVote

The latest PollyVote predicts Clinton to gain 57.5% of the two-party vote in New Jersey. Hence, Polly's prediction is 5.3 points below her polling numbers. The PollyVote forecast is therefore outside the poll's error margin.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

Please let us know if you find any typos, missing words, or grammatical errors. Your feedback helps us to further improve the quality of the texts.

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