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Maryland: New Goucher College*Goucher College* poll shows Trump behind by 33 points


Results of a new poll carried out by Goucher CollegeGoucher College were circulated. The poll asked interviewees from Maryland for whom they will vote: Donald·Trump or Hillary·Clinton.

Goucher CollegeGoucher College poll results




The results show that 58.0% of participants will vote for former First Lady Hillary Clinton, whereas 25.0% will vote for businessman Donald Trump.

The poll was conducted from September 17 to September 20 among 514 likely voters. The margin of error is +/-4.3 percentage points. This means that the levels of voter support for both parties' candidates differ significantly.

Putting the results in context

Individual polls should be interpreted with caution, as they often incorporate large errors. At the very least, one should check how a poll's results compare to benchmark forecasts.

In order to make the results comparable to forecasts from other methods, we translate them into two-party vote shares. The respective figures are 69.9% for Clinton and 30.1% for Trump.

Results compared to other polls

If we look at an average of Maryland polls, Clinton's current two-party vote share is at 69.2%. Relative to her numbers in the Goucher CollegeGoucher College poll Clinton's poll average is 0.7 percentage points worse. This difference is within the poll's margin of error, which means that the poll is not an outlier.

Results compared to the combined PollyVote forecast

The latest PollyVote predicts Clinton to gain 63.9% of the two-party vote in Maryland. Hence, Polly's combined forecast is 6.0 points below her polling numbers. Again, a look at the poll's error margin suggests that this difference is significant.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

Please let us know if you find any typos, missing words, or grammatical errors. Your feedback helps us to further improve the quality of the texts.

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