Kansas: DeSart model shows Trump in the lead

The DeSart model enters the econometric models component of the combined PollyVote. According to the model, Clinton will obtain 36.0% of the two-party vote share in Kansas, whereas Trump will win 64.0%.

Putting the results in context

Single models can contain substantial biases, and should be interpreted with caution. Rather, one should check how a model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.

Results compared to the combined PollyVote prediction

The current PollyVote expects Trump to gain 57.5% of the two-party vote in Kansas. The results of the DeSart model for Trump are thus 6.5 percentage points above the combined PollyVote in Kansas.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

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