Kansas: DeSart model shows Trump in the lead
The DeSart model enters the econometric models component of the combined PollyVote. According to the model, Clinton will obtain 36.0% of the two-party vote share in Kansas, whereas Trump will win 64.0%.
Putting the results in context
Single models can contain substantial biases, and should be interpreted with caution. Rather, one should check how a model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.
Results compared to the combined PollyVote prediction
The current PollyVote expects Trump to gain 57.5% of the two-party vote in Kansas. The results of the DeSart model for Trump are thus 6.5 percentage points above the combined PollyVote in Kansas.