Hawaii: DeSart model shows Clinton in the lead
The DeSart model provided an updated forecast of the election outcome. It currently predicts a major vote share of 70.1% for Clinton, and 29.9% for Trump in Hawaii.
Putting the results in context
Single models should be treated with caution, because they can include large errors. At least, one should check how a model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.
The DeSart model compared with PollyVote's prediction
The current PollyVote foresees Clinton to gain 68.3% of the two-party vote in Hawaii. The results of the DeSart model for Clinton are thus 1.8 percentage points above the combined PollyVote in Hawaii.