DeSart model in Kentucky: Trump is in the lead
The DeSart model released an updated forecast of the election result. It currently forecasts a major vote share of 35.5% for Clinton, and 64.5% for Trump in Kentucky.
Putting the results in context
As any other method, models are subject to bias. Hence, don't have too much confidence in the results of a single econometric model. At least, one should check how a model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.
Comparison to the combined PollyVote
The current PollyVote predicts Trump to gain 61.2% of the two-party vote in Kentucky. PollyVote currently predicts Trump to gain 3.3 percentage points less compared to the results of the DeSart model.