Albuquerque JournalAlbuquerque Journal published the results of a new poll. In this poll, participants from New Mexico were asked for whom they will vote: Hillary Clinton or Donald Trump.
Albuquerque JournalAlbuquerque Journal poll results
Of those who responded, 35.0% said that they will vote for former New York Senator Hillary Clinton, whereas 31.0% indicated that they would give their vote to real estate developer Donald Trump.
This poll was conducted from September 27 to September 29, among a random sample of 501 likely voters.
Putting the results in context
Individual polls may include large biases, which is why they should be treated with caution. Instead of trusting the results from single polls, research in forecasting recommends to use combined polls or, even better, a combined forecast that relies on different methods and data.
For the following analysis, we translate Clinton's and Trump's raw poll numbers into two-party vote shares. This procedure results in values of 53.0% for Clinton and 47.0% for Trump.
The poll in comparison with PollyVote's prediction
The latest PollyVote forecasts Clinton to gain 54.6% of the two-party vote in New Mexico. That is, the PollyVote forecast is 1.6 points above her polling numbers.