Washington, D.C.: Jerome model shows Clinton in the lead
The Jerome model is part of the econometric models component of the PollyVote forecast. According to the model, Clinton will achieve 86.4% of the two-party vote share in Washington, D.C., whereas Trump will win 13.6%.
Putting the results in context
Individual models should be regarded with caution, as they may incorporate large errors. At the very least, one should examine how a model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.
Results compared to the combined PollyVote forecast
The most recent PollyVote expects Clinton to gain 90.4% of the two-party vote in Washington, D.C.. The results of the Jerome model for Clinton are thus 4.0 percentage points below the combined PollyVote in Washington, D.C..