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New Jersey: Clinton with small lead in latest Richard Stockton CollegeRichard Stockton College poll

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Richard Stockton CollegeRichard Stockton College released the results of a new poll, in which respondents from New Jersey were asked for whom they will vote: Republican nominee Donald Trump or Democrat nominee Hillary Clinton.

Richard Stockton CollegeRichard Stockton College poll results
46

Clinton

40

Trump

According to the results, 46.0% of participants will cast a ballot for former New York Senator Hillary Clinton, while 40.0% would vote for businessman Donald Trump.

This poll was conducted from September 22 to September 29, among a random sample of 638 likely voters. The error margin is +/-3.9 points. This means that the poll results for both parties' candidates do not differ significantly.

Putting the results in context

Individual polls may incorporate substantial errors, which is why they should be treated with caution. Instead of trusting the results from single polls, forecasting research recommends to look at combined polls or, even better, the combined PollyVote forecast that incorporates forecasts from different methods, each of which draws upon different data.

In order to make the results comparable to forecasts from benchmark methods, you can translate them into shares of the two-party vote. This procedure yields values of 53.5% for Clinton and 46.5% for Trump.

Results in comparison to other polls

Clinton currently achieves 56.0% of the two-party vote in an average of recent polls in New Jersey. This value is 2.5 percentage points higher than her respective numbers in the Richard Stockton CollegeRichard Stockton College poll. This deviation is within the poll's sampling error, which means that the poll is not an outlier.

The poll in comparison with PollyVote's prediction

The current PollyVote anticipates Clinton to gain 57.6% of the two-party vote in New Jersey. That is, Polly's prediction is 4.1 points above her polling numbers. The PollyVote forecast is thus outside the poll's margin of error.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

Please let us know if you find any typos, missing words, or grammatical errors. Your feedback helps us to further improve the quality of the texts.

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