Hawaii: DeSart model shows Clinton in the lead

The DeSart model is captured in the econometric models component of the PollyVote forecast. The model currently predicts a major vote share of 70.1% for Clinton, and 29.9% for Trump in Hawaii.

Putting the results in context

As any other method, models are subject to bias. Hence, one should not have too much confidence in the results of a single econometric model. At least, one should check how a model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.

Results compared to the combined PollyVote prediction

The most recent PollyVote forecasts Clinton to gain 68.2% of the two-party vote in Hawaii. PollyVote currently predicts Clinton to gain 1.9 percentage points less compared to the results of the DeSart model.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

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