Hawaii: DeSart model shows Clinton in the lead
The DeSart model is captured in the econometric models component of the PollyVote forecast. The model currently predicts a major vote share of 70.1% for Clinton, and 29.9% for Trump in Hawaii.
Putting the results in context
As any other method, models are subject to bias. Hence, one should not have too much confidence in the results of a single econometric model. At least, one should check how a model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.
Results compared to the combined PollyVote prediction
The most recent PollyVote forecasts Clinton to gain 68.2% of the two-party vote in Hawaii. PollyVote currently predicts Clinton to gain 1.9 percentage points less compared to the results of the DeSart model.