DeSart model in Vermont: Clinton is in the lead
The DeSart model is part of the econometric models component of the combined PollyVote forecast. According to the model, Clinton will garner 66.5% of the two-party vote share in Vermont, while Trump will end up with 33.5%.
Putting the results in context
As a general rule, however, don't have too much faith in the results of single models, since they sometimes contain large errors. Rather than relying on results from single models, you should look at combined models or, even better, a combined forecast that includes forecasts from different methods, each of which draws upon different data.
Results compared to the combined PollyVote prediction
The most recent PollyVote foresees Clinton to gain 62.8% of the two-party vote in Vermont. PollyVote currently predicts Clinton to gain 3.7 percentage points less compared to the results of the DeSart model.