DeSart model in Kentucky: Trump is in the lead

The DeSart model published an updated forecast of the election result. The model currently forecasts a major vote share of 35.5% for Clinton, and 64.5% for Trump in Kentucky.

Putting the results in context

In general, however, you should not have too much faith in the results of single models, as they can incorporate large errors. At least, one should examine how a model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.

Comparison to the combined PollyVote

The most recent PollyVote predicts Trump to gain 61.2% of the two-party vote in Kentucky. PollyVote currently predicts Trump to gain 3.3 percentage points less compared to the results of the DeSart model.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

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