Washington, D.C.: Jerome model shows Clinton in the lead

The Jerome model is part of the econometric models component of the combined PollyVote forecast. It currently forecasts a two-party vote share of 86.4% for Clinton, and 13.6% for Trump in Washington, D.C..

Putting the results in context

In general, however, you should not have too much faith in the results of single models, as they can incorporate large errors. Rather, one should examine how a model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.

Comparison to the combined PollyVote

The current PollyVote predicts Clinton to gain 90.4% of the two-party vote in Washington, D.C.. The results of the Jerome model for Clinton are thus 4.0 percentage points below the combined PollyVote in Washington, D.C..

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

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