Vermont: DeSart model shows Clinton in the lead

The DeSart model is captured in the econometric models component of the PollyVote. According to the model, Clinton will obtain 66.5% of the two-party vote share in Vermont, while Trump will end up with 33.5%.

Putting the results in context

In general, however, one should not have too much faith in the results of single models, as they can contain large errors. Rather than relying on results from single models, the recommended strategy look at combined models or, even better, the combined PollyVote forecast that relies on forecasts from different methods, each of which draws upon different data.

The DeSart model compared with PollyVote's prediction

The most recent PollyVote predicts Clinton to gain 62.8% of the two-party vote in Vermont. The results of the DeSart model for Clinton are thus 3.7 percentage points above the combined PollyVote in Vermont.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

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