Ohio: Jerome model shows Clinton in the lead

The Jerome model released an updated forecast of the election outcome. According to the model, Clinton will obtain 51.3% of the two-party vote share in Ohio, while Trump will end up with 48.7%.

Ohio is traditionally a swing state, where the Democratic and Republican candidates have historically achieved similar levels of voter support. This is why the election outcome here is regarded critical in determining the overall result of the presidential election.

Putting the results in context

Single models may include large errors, which is why they should be treated with caution. At least, one should examine how a model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.

The Jerome model compared with PollyVote's prediction

The latest PollyVote forecasts Clinton to gain 50.4% of the two-party vote in Ohio. The results of the Jerome model for Clinton are thus 0.9 percentage points above the combined PollyVote in Ohio.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

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