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DeSart model in Wyoming: Trump is in the lead

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The DeSart model provided an updated prediction of the election result. According to the model, Clinton will collect 25.5% of the two-party vote share in Wyoming, whereas Trump will end up with 74.5%.

Putting the results in context

In general, however, a good strategy is to not have too much faith in the results of single models, because they sometimes incorporate large errors. Rather than relying on results from single models, forecasting research recommends to use combined models or, even better, a combined forecast that relies on forecasts from different methods, each of which draws upon different data.

The DeSart model compared with PollyVote's forecast

The latest PollyVote expects Trump to gain 68.6% of the two-party vote in Wyoming. The results of the DeSart model for Trump are thus 5.9 percentage points above the combined PollyVote in Wyoming.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

Please let us know if you find any typos, missing words, or grammatical errors. Your feedback helps us to further improve the quality of the texts.

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