DeSart model in West Virginia: Trump is in the lead
The DeSart model enters the econometric models component of the combined PollyVote forecast. According to the model, Clinton will garner 33.3% of the two-party vote share in West Virginia, while Trump will end up with 66.7%.
Putting the results in context
Individual models should be treated with caution, since they may contain substantial errors. Rather than trusting the results from single models, you should consult combined models or, even better, a combined forecast that relies on different methods and data.
Comparison to the combined PollyVote
The current PollyVote foresees Trump to gain 61.6% of the two-party vote in West Virginia. PollyVote currently predicts Trump to gain 5.1 percentage points less compared to the results of the DeSart model.