The 538 (polls-plus) model released an updated prediction of the election result. The model currently forecasts a two-party vote share of 51.2% for Clinton, and 48.9% for Trump. In comparison, on September 29, Clinton was predicted to end up with only 51.0% of the vote.
Putting the results in context
Single models should be treated with caution, because they may incorporate large errors. Rather, one should examine how a model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.
Results vs. other econometric models
Looking at an average of econometric models, Clinton's two-party vote share is currently at 49.7%. This value is 1.5 percentage points lower than corresponding numbers in the 538 (polls-plus) model.
The 538 (polls-plus) model compared with PollyVote's prediction
The most recent PollyVote forecasts Clinton to gain 52.2% of the two-party vote. PollyVote currently predicts Clinton to gain 1.0 percentage points more compared to the results of the 538 (polls-plus) model.