Washington, D.C.: Jerome model shows Clinton in the lead

The Jerome model is captured in the econometric models component of the PollyVote forecast. It currently predicts a major vote share of 86.4% for Clinton, and 13.6% for Trump in Washington, D.C..

Putting the results in context

As a general rule, however, one should not have too much faith in the results of single models, since they sometimes contain large errors. At the very least, one should examine how a model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.

Comparison to the combined PollyVote

The current PollyVote predicts Clinton to gain 90.4% of the two-party vote in Washington, D.C.. The results of the Jerome model for Clinton are thus 4.0 percentage points below the combined PollyVote in Washington, D.C..

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

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