DeSart model in West Virginia: Trump is in the lead

The DeSart model enters the econometric models component of the combined PollyVote forecast. According to the model, Clinton will obtain 33.3% of the two-party vote share in West Virginia, while Trump will win 66.7%.

Putting the results in context

As a general rule, however, you should not have too much faith in the results of single models, because they may contain large errors. Rather, one should check how a model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.

Results compared to the combined PollyVote prediction

The current PollyVote forecasts Trump to gain 61.6% of the two-party vote in West Virginia. PollyVote currently predicts Trump to gain 5.1 percentage points less compared to the results of the DeSart model.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

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