DeSart model in West Virginia: Trump is in the lead
The DeSart model enters the econometric models component of the combined PollyVote forecast. According to the model, Clinton will obtain 33.3% of the two-party vote share in West Virginia, while Trump will win 66.7%.
Putting the results in context
As a general rule, however, you should not have too much faith in the results of single models, because they may contain large errors. Rather, one should check how a model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.
Results compared to the combined PollyVote prediction
The current PollyVote forecasts Trump to gain 61.6% of the two-party vote in West Virginia. PollyVote currently predicts Trump to gain 5.1 percentage points less compared to the results of the DeSart model.