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CBS News/YouGov poll in Missouri: Clinton trails by 9 points


Results of a new poll carried out by CBS News/YouGov were announced. The poll asked respondents from Missouri for whom they will vote: Donald·Trump or Hillary·Clinton.

CBS News/YouGov poll results




Of those who answered the question, 37.0% said that they intend to vote for former First Lady Hillary Clinton, whereas 46.0% said that they would give their vote to businessman Donald Trump.

The poll was conducted from September 21 to September 23. A total of 1087 likely voters responded. The error margin is +/-3.9 percentage points, which means that the poll results for the candidates of both parties differ significantly.

Putting the results in context

Individual polls can incorporate large biases, which is why they should be interpreted with caution. Instead of trusting the results from single polls, research in forecasting recommends to rely on combined polls or, even better, the combined PollyVote forecast that incorporates different methods and data.

For the following comparison, we translate the candidates' raw poll numbers into shares of the two-party vote. The respective figures are 44.6% for Clinton and 55.4% for Trump.

Comparison to other polls

Trump currently runs at 56.3% of the major two-party vote according to an average of recent polls in Missouri. This value is 0.9 percentage points higher than his corresponding numbers in the CBS News/YouGov poll. This difference is within the poll's error margin, which suggests that the poll is not an outlier.

Comparison to the combined PollyVote

The most recent PollyVote expects Trump to gain 54.2% of the two-party vote in Missouri. That is, Polly's prediction is 1.2 points below his polling numbers. The PollyVote forecast is thus within the poll's sampling error.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

Please let us know if you find any typos, missing words, or grammatical errors. Your feedback helps us to further improve the quality of the texts.

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