The 538 (polls-plus) model enters the econometric models component of the PollyVote. According to the model, Clinton will receive 51.0% of the two-party vote share, whereas Trump will end up with 49.0%. In comparison, on September 28, Clinton was predicted to collect only 50.7% of the vote.
Putting the results in context
As any other method, models are subject to bias. Therefore, as a general rule, don't be overly confident the results of a single econometric model. Instead of trusting the results from single models, the evidence-based approach is to rely on combined models or, even better, a combined forecast that incorporates forecasts from different methods, each of which draws upon different data.
Comparison to other econometric models
Clinton currently runs at 49.7% of the two-party vote in an average of recent econometric models. In comparison to numbers in the 538 (polls-plus) model Clinton's econometric model average is 1.3 percentage points worse.
Results compared to the combined PollyVote forecast
The latest PollyVote predicts Clinton to gain 52.3% of the two-party vote. The results of the 538 (polls-plus) model for Clinton are thus 1.3 percentage points below the combined PollyVote.